The 39 DLC members in the House stayed with the Democratic Party majority 76.6% of the time on the eight important, party differentiating votes so far in this session of Congress. The 164 non-Republican and non-DLC members of the House stayed with the Democratic Party majority 82.8% of the time on the eight important, party-differentiating votes so far in this session of Congress. So, while DLC members were somewhat more disloyal than the rest of the party, they were not dramatically more disloyal.
More than anything else, and just as my girlfriend suspected, this study has revealed to me that the DLC is hyper-disorganized and does not seem to have either a clear policy thread or a noticeable amount of influence among its membership. Check out the diversity of the voting habits of the thirty-nine members on these eight votes:
Percentage of Members Opposing Various Numbers of Legislation, 109th Congress
DLC Non-DLC
8 23 52
7 23 16
6 21 7
5 21 10
4 5 5
3 5 5
2 3 4
1 0 1
The DLC has a significantly lower percentage of the "shining loyalists," those who opposed all eight bills, than the rest of the caucus. However, once we start getting into the "problem children," "those who opposed four bills, and especially those who opposed three or fewer bills, the DLC actually features a slightly lower percentage than the rest of the caucus. Where the DLC is over-presented is in the five to seven range, all of whom voted better than every single Republican during this session of Congress.What I believe all of this says is that the DLC has somehow managed to turn a loosely connected, ill-formed network with an indiscernible voting pattern into a reputation for ideological centrism and rigidity. Further, considering the chaotic voting patterns of its membership, I think it is pretty safe to conclude that the DLC has very little influence over its members. Further, I also think it is safe to conclude that it receives far too much blame for moving the party to "the center," and receives far too much credit for being an influential mechanism of party leadership.
No wonder the DLC only seems to receive press for bashing other Democrats. They don't seem to do much else.
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