In the 2004 election, Democrats contested 398 House seats, even though there are 435 House seats. One of the seats Democrats did not contest, VT-AL, is held by Bernie Sanders and can be forgiven. The other thirty-six absolutely cannot be forgiven. Here they are:
AL-6; AZ-3; AZ-6; CA-22; CA-41; FL-4; FL-7; FL-9; FL-21; FL-24; FL-25; GA-1; GA-6; GA-7; GA-10; KS-1; KY-5; LA-04; MS-01; MS-03; NY-25!!!!!!; OK-03; OK-04; PA-05; PA-10; PA-19; SC-01; SC-03; TN-07; TX-03; TX-10; TX-13; TX-14; VA-01; VA-06; VA-07
Most, but not all, of these districts have horrible demographics for Democrats. I freely admit that had Democrats run in these districts, they all would probably have lost, and many, if not most, would probably have failed to come within 20%. However, even knowing this, I have had enough of the argument that even spending time to find a sacrificial lamb to run in these districts is a waste of Democratic Party resources. The fact is that for around $360,000, one-quarter the cost of a competitive congressional district, we could have found a candidate for each of these districts and raised $10,000 for that candidate's campaign. That $360,000 would have been the best $360,000 the Democratic Party would have spent at any level this entire election cycle. Combined throughout these districts, it probably would have resulted in another 1-2 million votes for Democrats for Congress. And that is just this election cycle and just in those congressional elections.
Abandoning a district has repercussions in other elections. On the Presidential level, Arizona (maybe), Florida, Pennsylvania, and Virginia are battleground states, but Democrats failed to give Kerry any down ticket help in 14 of the 72 congressional districts in those states: nearly one out of every five. Even a half-hearted campaign by a Democrat in each of those districts would surely have helped Kerry to the tune of at least a few hundred, and probably a few thousand, votes per district. The same could be said for competitive Senate races in Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, Louisiana, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania and South Carolina where Democrats abandoned nineteen congressional districts. Our chances to retake the Senate and the Presidency were dented because of our failure to compete everywhere in the House. The same can be said for elections concerning Governors, state legislatures, county executives, and basically any election you can name. By abandoning these districts, we abandoned our chances to squeeze crucial votes out of them for other candidates running for office in the district.
Most clearly, by failing to challenge these districts, we also failed to force existing GOP incumbents to raise money and spend campaign time that went to Republicans in more competitive elections. Two days ago, Kos summed this up perfectly, as he explained how our efforts in two House races that almost went uncontested, both of which we lost, helped us significantly in other races:
DeLay garnered only 55 percent of the vote, his lowest total ever. He opened up campaign offices in the district and ran television commercials for the first time since his initial House victory. He remained in the district when he could've been out campaigning for other at-risk Republicans. He spent nearly $2 million to defend himself.
We pinned down DeLay in his home district. Mission accomplished.
Stan Matsunaka
Hatemonger Marylin Musgrave was headed to an easy, unchallenged victory, when Stan Matsunaka stepped up to the plate. We raised $44K for him. He lost 52-44.
Musgrave sweat this one. Not only did Musgrave spend $3 million of her own money, but the NRCC also threw in another $2 million to back her up. Matsunaka spent close to $600K and forced Republicans to spend $5 million that could've gone to other races -- all in a district that was almost uncontested.
Mission accomplished.
Abandoning a district also has repercussions for future elections. Failing to challenge your opponent's message in an area is damaging to your message in that area in the future. Failing to provide a choice to those willing to support you--and there are always tens of thousands willing to support you in any congressional district--sends a message that you do not represent or care about those people. Even worse, failing to challenge an incumbent sends a message that you are afraid of your own beliefs and that you are not working to make this country a better Democracy.
Running a candidate in each of these districts would also have helped to identify Democratic activists in each of these districts. Identifying, encouraging, and assisting potential Dem activists throughout the entire country would help to strengthen the Party, both now and in future elections cycles. These are the people who can help to bring the Democratic message to every corner of the country.
Further, while most of these candidates would lose, not all of them would. One in particular where I know we could have done some real damage is the NY-25. This is the district where I grew up, and where my parents still live. Basically, the district is Syracuse and its extended suburbs. Although, after redistricting, it does include conservative Webster County, it is decidedly lean-Dem both on the Presidential vote and voter registration levels. Yet, we preposterously did not run a candidate in this district. It is the home of Michael Bragman, former deputy leader in the New York State Legislature, and Terry McAuliffe, former Democratic National Committee chairman. Both individuals have very high name recognition in this district and, I imagine, very good favorable ratings. When it comes to the needs of a single congressional district, both would be excellent fundraisers. However, Bragman did not run this time around even after retiring from the Legislature, so I feel his chance has passed. That is why I support Terry McAuliffe for the NY-25 in 2006.
Winning is never the only thing at stake in an election. For 36 candidates and $360,000, we could have done a lot of good. It is even possible that there is another way we could spend $360,000 that would bring us in so many votes, force the GOP to spend much money in defense, identify so many activists, and bring our message to so many more people? I seriously doubt it. I don't want to hear that it would be a waste of resources, because it is so fucking not. Frankly, it would have been the best $360,000 we have ever spent in any election cycle anywhere, considering what it would accomplish dollar for dollar.
We need a candidate on every congressional ballot, period. When it comes to the House, 2004 is now a lost cause. However, starting in 2006, we must never let this happen again. I say we start by recruiting T-Mac for the NY-25, and build an infrastructure that guarantees no congressional district will ever be left behind again.
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