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Re: Is the concern over financing? (none / 0)

Specter raised $15M for his primary, and was still able to raise another $7M for the general.  Rendell spent $20M for his primary, and another $20M for his general.
by Adam B on Mon Feb 28, 2005 at 04:30:01 PM EST
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Re: Is the concern over financing? (none / 0)

The first is an incumbent and inapplicable as a comparison. The second I don't enough about to respond enough to know whether it is similar or dissimilar enough to offer hope that a primary race would or would not produce heavy financial burdens. I should point out however that one concern is that this is a non presidential year election so the intensity will be less in terms of voter turn out. You've got to assume that even if GOTV does improve that it wont match 2004.
by bruh21 on Mon Feb 28, 2005 at 04:56:01 PM EST
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Re: Is the concern over financing? (none / 0)

Well, it was a gubernatorial campaign, which in PA means no contribution limits.  But it was an open seat that Rendell was running for, against State Treasurer Casey in the primary and AG Mike Fisher in the general.

Rendell runs a massive GOTV operation -- it'll be pretty damn intense.

# of votes in PA:
Gore 2000: 2,465,412
Rendell 2002: 1,898,214
Kerry 2004: 2,885,773

Let's put it in context by looking at another blue state, Illinois:

# of votes:
Gore 2000: 2,588,884
Blagojevich 2002: 1,824,211
Kerry 2004: 2,866,307

Okay, actually, that's pretty close.  Nevermind.

by Adam B on Mon Feb 28, 2005 at 05:04:35 PM EST
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Re: Is the concern over financing? (none / 0)

your own numbers point out what I was saying about less GOTV. It doesn't mean not to do a heated primary, but it will take a lot more effort to get out the GOTV in 2006 than 2004. Where is the money to build the organization going to come from? You have to be willing to ask and answer those questions if you want to suceed. Saying well it's just good for us to have challenges to get your candidate in doesn't help your cause, at least, I don't think it does. What helps is figuring out how to stay one step ahead and figuring out where the money is going to come from, the organization, etc.
by bruh21 on Mon Feb 28, 2005 at 05:09:33 PM EST
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Re: Is the concern over financing? (none / 0)

You can't get the same level of interest in a non-presidential year -- and, again, Rendell spent around $20M on that general election.   He won't have a primary next year.

Basically, the gubernatorial campaign will handle all the GOTV for all statewide PA races in 2006, I'd imagine, because they're not subject to the same contribution limits.  

by Adam B on Mon Feb 28, 2005 at 05:15:04 PM EST
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